I am observing greater geopolitical pressure and threats (Greece, Ukraine, Russia, and other nations) that is likely to have drastic results. Blunt and non-diplomatic language is increasing simultaneously with suffering. ~Ron
ECB Insanity & IMF Tardiness Tearing Europe Apart Yet they R 2 Stupid to Understand It
Posted by Martin Armstrong 6 March 2015
The ECB (European Central Bank) decision to strike Greek bonds off its list of accepted collateral caused European shares and bonds to fall out of bed. The ECB’s move is a blunt attempt to turn-up pressure on Greece’s new anti-austerity government. Greek bank shares plunged over 20 percent and the country’s short-term debt yields surged to almost 20 percent. Greece should DEFAULT on Euro bonds externally and swap them for Drachma internally. Greece is getting nothing out of the Euroland but grief from a bunch of clowns who themselves borrow every year and have no intention of paying anything back.
The Euro is a dead currency and sooner Greece leaves the better. Perhaps then and only then will the rest of Southern Europe depart. The ECB’s move has upped the stakes in a standoff between the rest of Euroland and Greece, where a new government wants to rewrite its aid-for-reform agreements. Greece’s central bank will now have to provide the country’s banks with billions of euros of emergency funding. So this is the perfect time to DEFAULT on all external debt.
Meanwhile, the Ukraine conflict continues as Russia accused the United States of trying to tear Ukraine away from it and warned any supply of U.S. arms to Ukraine would pose a danger to Russia’s national security. The IMF delayed providing the loans to Ukraine as promised and that led to food panics and the collapse in the currency. The Russia warning further impacted Ukraine’s currency, the hryvnia, which slumped 34% after its central bank has been running out of reserves. Ukraine has now been forced to hike interest rates to 5.5% to 19.5%, even though the economy is expected to continue to decline in a recessionary spiral downward.
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It’s like the troika is giving Greece no choice but to default. Perhaps that’s what they want – they want Greece to leave the Euro and get it over with.
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Greece is certainly paying a price for their slow maneuvering. The ECB’s decision to make Greek Bonds worthless was a torturous act. Greek banks will be hounding the Syriza party officials as they try to keep their banking system operational.
If the Greek government issued their own currency (the real solution) my guess is that they would be invaded by military forces…
Thus they best decide on a alliance (WEST or EAST) and be prepared for hard transition.
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