Institutional Watch and Current Geopolitics

Remember Victoria Nuland:
Victoria Nuland Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs, is widely recognized as the architect of the 2014 coup d'etat in Ukraine, as well as the sponsor of the neo-nazi organizations which led that coup.
The notorious U.S. Diplomat Victoria Nuland became famous when she was caught on a telephone recording saying “FU*K the EU”.
Now German politics are being as blunt:
Oskar Lafontaine is a major force in German politics

“F*ck U.S. imperialism!” Says German Politician

Oskar Lafontaine is a major force in German politics. When he comes out swinging this way, you know something is changing.

He has been an outsized figure in German politics since the mid-70s. He was chairman of the SPD (one of Germany’s two main parties) for four years, the SPD’s candidate for chancellor in 1990, minister of finance for two years, and then chairman of the Left party in the 2000s. He is married to Sarah Wagenknecht, political heavyweight, who is currently co-chairman of Left party.

So it caught people’s attention when he excoriated Ash Carter and Victoria Nuland on his Facebook page yesterday.
Lafontaine’s outburst came a day after his wife, Sarah Wagenknecht, blasted Merkel’s Russia policy in an interview on RT.

Here is the full translation of the post:

“The US ‘Defense’ secretary, i.e., war minister is in Berlin.  He called on Europe to counter Russian ‘aggression’.  But in fact, it is US aggression which Europeans should be opposing.

“The Grandmaster of US diplomacy, George Kennan described the eastward expansion of NATO as the biggest US foreign policy mistake since WW2, because it will lead to a new cold war.
“The US diplomat Victoria Nuland said we have spent $5 billion to destabilize the Ukraine. They stoke the flames ever higher, and Europe pays for it with lower trade and lost jobs.
“Nuland says ‘F*ck the EU’. We need need an EU foreign policy that stops warmongering US imperialism.
“F*ck US imperialism!”

Read the post in German:

On Off Switch

Greek Parliament calls for Bailout Referendum

Greece’s referendum question will would have read as follows (before the offer was rescinded):

“Greek people are hereby asked to decide whether they accept a draft agreement document submitted by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, at the Eurogroup meeting held on on June 25 and which consists of two documents:
“The first document is called Reforms for the Completion of the Current Program and Beyond and the second document is called Preliminary Debt Sustainability Analysis.

“- Those citizens who reject the institutions’ proposal vote Not Approved / NO.”

“- Those citizens who accept the institutions’ proposal vote Approved / YES.”


After Greece Pops

…The central banks can hold up the markets pretty much as long as they wish, take them [down] wherever they want them to go, and then drop them when the timing suits their agenda. Don’t ever forget that.

The Greeks are taking their sweet time and a long convoluted road to get there, but we all know where they’re going: to the Eurozone’s off-ramp, then a right turn onto BRICS Boulevard. But what will happen once they finally exit the Autobahn? –

Greece’s parliament voted early Sunday in favor of Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’ motion to hold a July 5th referendum on creditor proposals for reforms in exchange for loans…
Remember earlier in the week, EU Finance Ministers Changed Their Minds Because of the Greek Referendum

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3 comments on “Institutional Watch and Current Geopolitics
  1. RonMamita says:

    Greece Imposes Capital Controls!

    Greek banks remain closed

    Banks to remain closed until July 6 and capital control imposed amid fears Greece may default on its debt and exit euro. –

    “According to Kathimerini, Greek banks will remain closed until at least July 6 and capital controls — which will limit the amount of money that can be withdrawn”…

    JADE HELM & Artificial Intelligence

    The Institutional Criminals Are In Control

    The J.A.D.E. II System is a Quantum computing A.I.
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    World Wide Information Grid:
    Yes the system has claimed it can predict future behaviour!
    Yes, the system claims it can identify and track world wide!
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    Institutional Criminals Are At The Helm
    Some People in America are alarmed…



  2. RonMamita says:

    Many Governments Face Debt Default

    National briefing, 27 June 2015, by Yanis Varoufakis, Minister of Finance of Greece, after the 1st meeting session.

    Martin Armstrong reports about these government debts below:

    Will Puerto Rico Be the Next Greece?


    On Monday, Puerto Rico is set to release a key report on its financial stability. Governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla told The New York Times that the island would probably seek significant concessions from many of its creditors because “the debt is not payable.”

    Puerto Rico is the next Greece where the “vulture” investors bought their bonds back in 2013, when there was roughly $70 billion in outstanding debt, causing a huge plunge in bond prices over the summer.

    All governments follow the same model and this is BIG BANG, where government debt at every level will begin a death spiral. Governments since World War II have borrowed continuously but never managed anything properly. They just assumed that the great herd of taxpayers had deep pockets that were endless. This attitude is causing the collapse in socialism, where all the promises of pensions cannot be maintained. The majority of people assumed that working for government was the safest. They are now starting to see that it is the worst of all, for you cannot prosecute them for mismanagement and fraud, as you would if a private employer pulled the same nonsense.

    Liquidity Crisis

    The smart money smells a rat. Capital has rushing out of long bonds since May and pouring into the very short-term federal paper, pushing rates back negative to the crisis level of 2009. BIG BANG is being furthered by the worst collapse in liquidity I have ever witnessed in my entire career.

    World in Review: The Greek Tragedy Continues to Set the Tone



    The Greek drama of Greek Tragedy continues with a rumored agreement to continue the stimulus in return for promised reforms, only to have Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras announce a surprise referendum on July 5 after June 30, which puts the IMF payment into default. Late last week EurAsia group’s Ian Bremmer remained confident that the Greek Parliament will approve the agreement at the last minute. Meanwhile, Greek politicians demonstrate their commitment to election promises of anti-austerity while the Troika talks tough on reforms to appease their own electorate. Monday is the Eurozone Summit, and on Tuesday the Greek IMF payment will go into default. Next week promises to be a volatile week in the markets with the arrays showing a turning point in many markets on Wednesday.
    Summer volatility has continued as the market gyrates with subsequent news reports on Greek negotiations. The entire Greek debt tragedy began precisely on the pi target to the day of our Economic Confidence Model. Everything remains stunningly on track.
    While Greek negotiations captured the attention of the media, the big shift in trend is the sell-off of Chinese stock indices with the Shanghai composite down 7.4% on Friday bringing losses to 19% since the peak on June 12. While we elected the Daily Bearish Reversals from the high, we have not yet elected a Weekly Bearish. The rally to the high was right on target 17.2 weeks from the February low (2 x 8.6).

    The Chinese A share market has been historic, rising 150% in less than a year versus the 1928–1929 U.S. market rally of 100%, which occurred over the course of 18 months. This rally has been fueled by margin trading, with margin debt up 464.57% over the past year — from $R400 million last June 19 to $R2.2 billion on June 19 of this year. In an apparent response to the stock correction, China lowered benchmark interest rates and reduced bank reserve requirements on Saturday.

    While the Chinese market has been the global outperformer over the past year, long-term performance has lagged, with the Shanghai index failing to break the high of 6,124 set on October 16, 2007. The recent rally halted after hitting the Monthly Bullish Reversal at the 4695820 closing May at 4611744. Penetrating the low of May technically will bring the market back through the Breakout Channel. Indeed, the market has not exceeded the Breakout Line from the 2008 low.

    Bond Markets Flash Caution

    Much like the Chinese share market, developed world economies have been sustained by debt. While the press emphasizes high equity valuations, the debt market is the bubble. According to the Institute for International Finance, developed economy debt/GDP is at 245% excluding financial debt. While the financial sector has reduced leverage materially, the public sector debt-to-GDP ratio has increased 50 percent points in aggregate since 2000.

    While emerging markets have stronger balance sheets, the rapid rise in debt is concerning, as total debt to GDP has risen precipitously from roughly 50% in 2000 to 80% at the end of 2014, as shown in the chart to the right. China has been a major driver, as debt has risen 72 percentage points versus GDP excluding financial companies.

    Today the bond market displays the warning signs of rising volatility with low volumes on rallies. The German bund has broken through its upward channel from the beginning of the 2014, testing the 2008 trend line. Liquidity in the bond markets is dismal as brokerage houses continue to reduce inventories, reminiscent of the 2008 bond market collapse. This time, the lack of liquidity has spread to sovereign bonds including the German bund and U.S. treasuries. The Central Banks assume they can control the sovereign bond markets, yet rates continue to rise despite OECD rate cuts and continued bond purchases in Germany and Japan.

    So what will cause the bond market to correct in the absence of growth? Fixed income investors have enjoyed a 34 year (4 x 8.6) rally with rates falling since 1981 (1980 for the U.S.). The bond market, like all markets, is based upon confidence. When bond investors start losing money, they begin to realize that governments may not be able to repay their debts, and they will lose confidence. Tax increases only cause economic contraction as seen in Japan and Europe. Low sovereign yields fail to protect investors from falling prices, causing corporate bonds to outperform. U.S. HY has a total return of 3.3% YTD meanwhile the Barclays 20+ treasury total return index is down 6.9%.
    Central Bankers in Norway, Russia, South Korea, and New Zealand have all cut rates in the past month. Yet developed market interest rates continue to rise. Eventually central bankers will be forced to raise rates to attract capital as the emerging markets are doing now. Brazil and several African countries (Namibia, Uganda, and Kenya) raised rates in June to stabilize FX markets. The Brazilian real is down 15% YTD and almost 30% over the past year. While central bankers speak of inflation, the inflation is partially a consequence of a falling currency as seen in the graph above correlating inflation rates with the exchange rate of the Brazilian Real. Higher interest rates will add further pressure to government finances globally given short-term financing.
    Assuming a temporary agreement is made which is looking bleak, look for Greek pressures to intensify once again in the fall along with the turn of Martin Armstrong’s Economic Confidence Model on October 1, 2015.

    So why remain so confident of an eventual Greek default? With no fiscal union, the currency union is merely a currency peg. ALL currency pegs break under their own weight. While Greek polls suggest the Greeks want to remain in the EU, a large percentage of the population either works for the government or receives a government pension, which are being supported by support from the Troika. According to the Brookings Institute, roughly one million people were either employed by the Greek Government or were pensioners of the public sector in 2013, as compare to a total working population of 3.8 million total workers; this is unsustainable. The Brookings institute reports, “The pension of a 55-year-old retired senior police officer is around 1,650 euros per month. A lecturer working in a university is earning around 1,200 euros [net, after tax and social security contributions].” Has anyone else noticed the absence of youth in the Greek protests? A Grexit will be painful as the government will be forced to shrink due to the lack of capital. Meanwhile, increased visibility and attractive prices will create an opportunity for entrepreneurs to bring investment capital to Greece.


    Weak economic growth is fueling civil unrest globally, while austerity in Europe is causing increased discontent with the EMU throughout Europe. One of the frontrunners for France’s Presidential elections, Marine Le Pen, is appealing to the anti-euro movement calling for a Frexit if the EU does not return “monetary, legislative, territorial and budget sovereignty.” When the Greek economy recovers following a Grexit, anti-euro sentiment will only increase.

    Most developed countries would be envious of 2.9% GDP growth in today’s environment, Iceland is doing just that with 1Q 2015 GDP growth of 2.9% supported by consumption and investment up 6.4% and domestic demand up 10%. Recall Iceland allowed its banks to default. In addition, Iceland only spends 9.1% of GDP on healthcare whereas the U.S. spends 17.9%, according to the CIA World Factbook on August 2014.

    Markets are expected to remain volatile through the summer leading to the ECM of October 1, 2015 so pay attention to the arrays and reversals. This week of June 29 has been a target on the arrays for months in Greece, euro, and bond markets. However, the first week of July has been a target in the Greek share market and curiously we have the referendum suddenly called for July 5. A Grexit will cause investors to question the viability of other periphery countries, such as Portugal, Spain, and Italy, thus pushing capital to the U.S. While a rally in the euro through the summer is possible, economic weakness and political issues in Europe will continue to fuel a further rally in the USD, hurting countries and corporates with USD denominated liabilities. While the bond markets may benefit from a risk-off scenario, now is the time to study corporate balance sheets and understand their exposure to higher interest rates and currency movements. All this uncertainty and volatility should cause one to pull back waiting for some clarity this next week. We remain bearish in the metals and the Chinese indices.

    Yanis Reveals EU Denial of Any Right of the People to Vote

    Varoufakis Yanis

    Greece’s Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis has come out to reveal the quite shocking and anti-democratic events that took place during the last Eurogroup meeting. First, they do hate Yanis’ guts, for he understands far more about the economy than anyone in Brussels. At their demand, any further discussions will be without him. What led to the EU breaking off was exactly what we reported previously — they do not want any member state to EVER allow the people to vote on the euro. Brussels has become a DICTATORSHIP and is so arrogant without any just cause, believing that they know better than the people.

    We are watching the total collapse of Democracy and the birth of a new era — Economic Totalitarianism from arrogant people who are totally clueless beyond their own greed for power and money.


  3. RonMamita says:

    Germany Replacing Bank Cards and Eliminating Cash Withdrawals


    The game is afoot to eliminate CASH. According to reliable sources, Maestro is seriously under attack. In Germany, Maestro was a multi-national debit card service owned by MasterCard and founded in 1992. Maestro cards obtained from associate banks and can be linked to the cardholder’s current account, or they can be used as prepaid cards. Already we see the cancellation of such cards and the issuing of new debit cards. Why? The new cards cannot be used at an ATM outside of Germany to obtain cash. Any attempt to get cash can only be an advance on a credit card.


    Little by little, these people are destroying everything that held the world economy together. Their hunt for spare change for tax purposes is undermining every aspect of civilization. This will NEVER END NICELY for they can only think about their immediate needs with no comprehension of the future they are creating. Indeed, somebody better pray for us, for those in charge truly do not know what they are doing.


    We seriously need to hit the Ctrl-Alt-Delete button on government. This is total insanity and we are losing absolutely everything that makes society function.

    Once they eliminate CASH, they will have total control over who can buy or sell anything.


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